Watford (W) vs Bristol City (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Watford (W)

Bristol City (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 57.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.6% 5.43 DRAW 23.0% 4.16 AWAY 59.4% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Watford (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Watford (W) Bristol City (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Watford (W) Bristol City (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Watford (W) Bristol City (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Watford (W) ↑ +2.54 (+88.1%)

Bristol City (W) ↓ -0.54 (-25.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.