England FA WSL 2 · GB

Newcastle (W) vs Burnley (W)

08 Nov 2026 · 15:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Newcastle (W). The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.19 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.26. At this price, a home win for Newcastle (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Newcastle (W)

STOCHASTICBET 79.7%

PINNACLE 77.4% odd 1.19

DIFFERENCE +2.3 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 13.2%

PINNACLE 14.1% odd 6.50

DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp

AWAY

Burnley (W)

STOCHASTICBET 7.1%

PINNACLE 8.4% odd 10.91

DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Newcastle (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Newcastle (W) Burnley (W)

Shots 10.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Newcastle (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Newcastle (W) Burnley (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Newcastle (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Newcastle (W) Burnley (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Newcastle (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.