Braga (W) vs Maritimo (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Braga (W)

Maritimo (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.8% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 6.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.1% 1.19 DRAW 14.1% 6.75 AWAY 5.8% 16.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maritimo (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Braga (W) Maritimo (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Braga (W) Maritimo (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Braga (W) Maritimo (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Braga (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

Maritimo (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.