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Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · BA

NK Zvijezda Gradacac vs NK Vitez

08 Nov 2026 · 13:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for an away win for NK Vitez. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 7.50 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 7.87. At this price, an away win for NK Vitez does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
NK Zvijezda Gradacac
STOCHASTICBET 64.7%
BET365 66.0% odd 1.36
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.6%
BET365 22.0% odd 4.10
DIFFERENCE +0.7 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
NK Vitez
STOCHASTICBET 12.7%
BET365 12.0% odd 7.50
DIFFERENCE +0.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 11:51
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: NK Vitez

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Zvijezda Gradacac NK Vitez
Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Vitez, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Zvijezda Gradacac NK Vitez
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Zvijezda Gradacac NK Vitez

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 12:43:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.