NK Tosk Tesanj vs NK Travnik

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

NK Tosk Tesanj

NK Travnik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 31.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.30 DRAW 29.6% 3.25 AWAY 28.6% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NK Travnik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.7% win probability, compared with 28.6% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: NK Travnik

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Tosk Tesanj NK Travnik

Shots 11.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Travnik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Tosk Tesanj NK Travnik

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3

NK Travnik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Tosk Tesanj NK Travnik

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Travnik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

NK Tosk Tesanj = (0.0%)

NK Travnik ↑ +0.66 (+24.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.