Real Madrid C vs Albacete B

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Real Madrid C

Albacete B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% 2.02 DRAW 26.2% 3.60 AWAY 27.2% 3.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Albacete B relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.5% win probability, compared with 27.2% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Albacete B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Madrid C Albacete B

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Albacete B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Madrid C Albacete B

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Albacete B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Madrid C Albacete B

The combined recent performance profile favours Albacete B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Real Madrid C ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Albacete B ↑ +0.29 (+8.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.