Always Ready vs Guabira

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Always Ready

Guabira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.6% DRAW 11.7% AWAY 7.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.8% 1.19 DRAW 12.7% 7.50 AWAY 7.6% 12.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guabira

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Always Ready Guabira

Shots 13.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Guabira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Always Ready Guabira

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Always Ready has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Always Ready Guabira

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Always Ready ↑ +0.02 (+2.1%)

Guabira ↑ +0.50 (+4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.