Guabira vs Real Potosi

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Guabira

Real Potosi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.2% 1.80 DRAW 24.0% 3.99 AWAY 22.8% 4.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Guabira

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guabira Real Potosi

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guabira Real Potosi

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guabira Real Potosi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Guabira ↓ -0.12 (-6.3%)

Real Potosi ↑ +0.96 (+29.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.