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Bolivia Primera Division · BO

Real Oruro vs Real Potosi

15 Sep 2026 · 21:00
SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp
Real Oruro
Real Potosi
HOME 23.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 51.1%
HOME 25.6% 3.75 DRAW 26.4% 3.64 AWAY 48.0% 2.00

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Real Potosi relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.1% win probability, compared with 48.0% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Real Potosi

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Real Oruro Real Potosi
Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Real Oruro Real Potosi
Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Real Potosi has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Real Oruro Real Potosi

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Potosi.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Real Oruro ↑ +1.35 (+56.3%)
Real Potosi ↓ -0.40 (-16.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.