Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin

03 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Slask Wroclaw

Pogon Szczecin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.60 DRAW 29.1% 3.29 AWAY 34.1% 2.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Pogon Szczecin

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slask Wroclaw Pogon Szczecin

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slask Wroclaw Pogon Szczecin

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slask Wroclaw Pogon Szczecin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Slask Wroclaw ↓ -0.03 (-1.0%)

Pogon Szczecin ↑ +0.38 (+15.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.