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Egypt Division 1 · EG

El Masry vs Al Ittihad Al Sakandary

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00
OPPORTUNITY
NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp
El Masry
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY
HOME 46.5% DRAW 33.3% AWAY 20.2%
MARKET PROBABILITY
HOME 48.1% 2.01 DRAW 32.2% 3.00 AWAY 19.8% 4.89
MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
El Masry Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Shots 12.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
El Masry Al Ittihad Al Sakandary
Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
El Masry Al Ittihad Al Sakandary

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

El Masry ↑ +0.18 (+10.1%)
Al Ittihad Al Sakandary ↓ -0.34 (-6.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.