Wadi Degla vs Al Moqawloon Al Arab

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Wadi Degla

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.14 DRAW 31.5% 3.05 AWAY 23.7% 4.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Wadi Degla

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wadi Degla Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wadi Degla Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Wadi Degla has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wadi Degla Al Moqawloon Al Arab

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wadi Degla ↓ -0.10 (-4.5%)

Al Moqawloon Al Arab ↑ +0.31 (+8.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.