Asyut Petroleum vs Modern Sport FC

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Asyut Petroleum

Modern Sport FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.3% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 46.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% 4.37 DRAW 32.8% 2.90 AWAY 45.4% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Modern Sport FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asyut Petroleum Modern Sport FC

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asyut Petroleum Modern Sport FC

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Modern Sport FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asyut Petroleum Modern Sport FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Modern Sport FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Asyut Petroleum ↑ +0.97 (+28.5%)

Modern Sport FC ↓ -0.20 (-8.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.