ZED FC vs Al Qanah

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

ZED FC

Al Qanah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 32.8% AWAY 17.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 2.08 DRAW 32.8% 2.94 AWAY 20.8% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ZED FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 46.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ZED FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZED FC Al Qanah

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours ZED FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZED FC Al Qanah

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.0

ZED FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZED FC Al Qanah

The combined recent performance profile favours ZED FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

ZED FC ↓ -0.24 (-10.3%)

Al Qanah ↑ +1.00 (+27.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.