Al Moqawloon Al Arab vs Al Ahly Cairo

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Al Moqawloon Al Arab

Al Ahly Cairo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.9% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 67.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.1% 8.55 DRAW 21.9% 4.34 AWAY 67.0% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Ahly Cairo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Moqawloon Al Arab Al Ahly Cairo

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Ahly Cairo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Moqawloon Al Arab Al Ahly Cairo

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Moqawloon Al Arab Al Ahly Cairo

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ahly Cairo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Moqawloon Al Arab ↑ +1.22 (+16.6%)

Al Ahly Cairo ↓ -0.06 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.