El Zamalek vs Abo Qir Semad

08 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

El Zamalek

Abo Qir Semad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 10.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.5% 1.42 DRAW 22.7% 4.10 AWAY 11.8% 7.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for El Zamalek relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.3% win probability, compared with 65.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: El Zamalek

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

El Zamalek Abo Qir Semad

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours El Zamalek, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

El Zamalek Abo Qir Semad

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8

El Zamalek has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

El Zamalek Abo Qir Semad

The combined recent performance profile favours El Zamalek.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

El Zamalek ↓ -0.05 (-3.4%)

Abo Qir Semad ↑ +1.90 (+31.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.