National Bank vs Ghazl El Mahallah

07 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

National Bank

Ghazl El Mahallah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 13.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.76 DRAW 28.7% 3.35 AWAY 16.6% 5.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates National Bank clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.9% win probability, compared with 54.7% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: National Bank

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

National Bank Ghazl El Mahallah

Shots 19.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours National Bank, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

National Bank Ghazl El Mahallah

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

National Bank Ghazl El Mahallah

The combined recent performance profile favours National Bank.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

National Bank ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Ghazl El Mahallah ↑ +0.12 (+2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.