FC Ryukyu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu

09 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

FC Ryukyu

Giravanz Kitakyushu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 28.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.10 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 29.5% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Ryukyu

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Ryukyu Giravanz Kitakyushu

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Ryukyu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Ryukyu Giravanz Kitakyushu

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Ryukyu Giravanz Kitakyushu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Ryukyu ↓ -0.20 (-8.7%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu ↑ +0.52 (+19.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.