Santa Cruz FC U20 vs Central SC Caruaru U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Santa Cruz FC U20

Central SC Caruaru U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 18.4% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.5% 1.41 DRAW 20.2% 4.50 AWAY 15.4% 5.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Santa Cruz FC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.4% win probability, compared with 64.5% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Santa Cruz FC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Cruz FC U20 Central SC Caruaru U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Santa Cruz FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Cruz FC U20 Central SC Caruaru U20

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Santa Cruz FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Cruz FC U20 Central SC Caruaru U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santa Cruz FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santa Cruz FC U20 ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

Central SC Caruaru U20 ↑ +0.42 (+7.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.