Retro U20 vs Santa Cruz FC U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Retro U20

Santa Cruz FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.67 DRAW 24.5% 3.75 AWAY 20.3% 4.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Retro U20 Santa Cruz FC U20

Shots 22.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 19.8 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Retro U20 Santa Cruz FC U20

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Retro U20 Santa Cruz FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Retro U20 = (0.0%)

Santa Cruz FC U20 ↑ +0.21 (+4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.