America PE U20 vs Sport Recife U20

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

America PE U20

Sport Recife U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.5% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 54.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% 5.14 DRAW 26.7% 3.54 AWAY 54.8% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sport Recife U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

America PE U20 Sport Recife U20

Shots 12.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

America PE U20 Sport Recife U20

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Sport Recife U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

America PE U20 Sport Recife U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

America PE U20 ↑ +1.14 (+28.5%)

Sport Recife U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.