ASD Res Roma (W) vs Cesena (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

ASD Res Roma (W)

Cesena (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% 2.78 DRAW 26.4% 3.68 AWAY 38.8% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Res Roma (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Res Roma (W) Cesena (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 8.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours ASD Res Roma (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Res Roma (W) Cesena (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Cesena (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Res Roma (W) Cesena (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASD Res Roma (W) = (0.0%)

Cesena (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.