FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada

13 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

FC Santa Coloma

Penya Encarnada

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.3% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 10.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.9% 1.38 DRAW 20.5% 4.58 AWAY 11.6% 8.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Santa Coloma has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Santa Coloma Penya Encarnada

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Santa Coloma, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Santa Coloma Penya Encarnada

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Santa Coloma Penya Encarnada

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Santa Coloma.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Santa Coloma ↓ -0.09 (-6.1%)

Penya Encarnada ↑ +2.54 (+46.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.