AC d'Escaldes vs SC Escaldes

12 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

AC d'Escaldes

SC Escaldes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.6% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 15.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.0% 1.33 DRAW 17.6% 5.39 AWAY 11.4% 8.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SC Escaldes clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 15.7% win probability, compared with 11.4% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SC Escaldes has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC d'Escaldes SC Escaldes

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours SC Escaldes, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC d'Escaldes SC Escaldes

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.5

SC Escaldes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC d'Escaldes SC Escaldes

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Escaldes.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AC d'Escaldes ↑ +0.07 (+5.8%)

SC Escaldes ↓ -0.70 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.