Cong An HCMC vs Ha Noi FC

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.2 pp

Cong An HCMC

Ha Noi FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 50.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% 3.41 DRAW 26.8% 3.54 AWAY 45.4% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ha Noi FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.6% win probability, compared with 45.4% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ha Noi FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cong An HCMC Ha Noi FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Ha Noi FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cong An HCMC Ha Noi FC

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Ha Noi FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cong An HCMC Ha Noi FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ha Noi FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cong An HCMC ↓ -0.58 (-14.5%)

Ha Noi FC ↑ +0.29 (+16.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.