Universitario De Vinto vs Oriente Petrolero

27 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Universitario De Vinto

Oriente Petrolero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 42.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 2.88 DRAW 25.4% 3.67 AWAY 42.3% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Universitario De Vinto

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universitario De Vinto Oriente Petrolero

Shots 19.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Universitario De Vinto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universitario De Vinto Oriente Petrolero

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Oriente Petrolero has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universitario De Vinto Oriente Petrolero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Universitario De Vinto ↑ +0.38 (+15.0%)

Oriente Petrolero ↓ -0.18 (-7.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.