Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Club Aurora

25 Sep 2026 · 23:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.4 pp

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Club Aurora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 44.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.2% 2.70 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 39.3% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Club Aurora clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.8% win probability, compared with 39.3% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Club Aurora has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Club Aurora

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Club Aurora, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Club Aurora

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Club Aurora has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Club Aurora

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Aurora.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Academia de Balompie Boliviano ↓ -0.42 (-13.3%)

Club Aurora ↑ +0.37 (+18.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.