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Netherlands Cup · NL

Sportlust '46 vs Blauw Geel '38

01 Sep 2026 · 20:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 45.4%
Draw 24.9%
Away 29.7%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 15.7 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sportlust '46

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sportlust '46 Blauw Geel '38
Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sportlust '46 Blauw Geel '38
Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Sportlust '46 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sportlust '46 Blauw Geel '38

The combined recent performance profile favours Sportlust '46.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportlust '46 ↑ +0.10 (+5.0%)
Blauw Geel '38 ↑ +0.45 (+15.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.118
Shot rating 6
Shots-on-target rating 5
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.