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Spain Tercera Group 2 · ES

El San Martin vs Lealtad

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a draw. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 3.20 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.43. At this price, a draw does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME
El San Martin
STOCHASTICBET 25.6%
BET365 25.7% odd 3.50
DIFFERENCE -0.1 pp
DRAW MODEL > MARKET
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 29.1%
BET365 28.1% odd 3.20
DIFFERENCE +1.0 pp
AWAY
Lealtad
STOCHASTICBET 45.3%
BET365 46.2% odd 1.95
DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 07 Nov 2026 · 13:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Lealtad

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
El San Martin Lealtad
Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
El San Martin Lealtad
Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
El San Martin Lealtad

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.