Villarrobledo vs CD Quintanar del Rey

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Villarrobledo

CD Quintanar del Rey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% DRAW 30.9% AWAY 38.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% 3.17 DRAW 30.3% 3.00 AWAY 41.0% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Quintanar del Rey

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villarrobledo CD Quintanar del Rey

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Quintanar del Rey, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villarrobledo CD Quintanar del Rey

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Villarrobledo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villarrobledo CD Quintanar del Rey

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villarrobledo ↑ +0.17 (+5.7%)

CD Quintanar del Rey ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.