Spain Tercera Group 16 · ES

Berceo vs CD Alfaro

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for Berceo. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.23 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.45. At this price, a home win for Berceo does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Berceo

STOCHASTICBET 29.0%

PINNACLE 28.5% odd 3.23

DIFFERENCE +0.5 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 27.9%

PINNACLE 27.9% odd 3.30

DIFFERENCE 0.0 pp

AWAY

CD Alfaro

STOCHASTICBET 43.1%

PINNACLE 43.6% odd 2.11

DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Berceo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Berceo CD Alfaro

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Berceo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Berceo CD Alfaro

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.0

CD Alfaro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Berceo CD Alfaro

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.