Crystal Palace (W) vs Tottenham (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Crystal Palace (W)

Tottenham (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.6% DRAW 19.0% AWAY 68.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.7% 6.98 DRAW 20.1% 4.75 AWAY 66.2% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tottenham (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Crystal Palace (W) Tottenham (W)

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Crystal Palace (W) Tottenham (W)

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Tottenham (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Crystal Palace (W) Tottenham (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Tottenham (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Crystal Palace (W) ↑ +1.72 (+32.7%)

Tottenham (W) ↓ -0.23 (-13.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.