West Ham (W) vs Everton (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

West Ham (W)

Everton (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% 2.28 DRAW 29.4% 3.24 AWAY 28.9% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Everton (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.0% win probability, compared with 28.9% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Everton (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Ham (W) Everton (W)

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Everton (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Ham (W) Everton (W)

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Everton (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Ham (W) Everton (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Everton (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

West Ham (W) ↑ +0.10 (+4.6%)

Everton (W) ↑ +0.30 (+10.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.