Spain Tercera Group 5 · ES

CF Montanesa vs UE Tona

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for CF Montanesa. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.21 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.26. At this price, a home win for CF Montanesa does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

CF Montanesa

STOCHASTICBET 44.2%

PINNACLE 41.7% odd 2.21

DIFFERENCE +2.5 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 28.9%

PINNACLE 29.2% odd 3.16

DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp

AWAY

UE Tona

STOCHASTICBET 26.9%

PINNACLE 29.1% odd 3.17

DIFFERENCE -2.2 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 10:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

CF Montanesa has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Montanesa UE Tona

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Montanesa UE Tona

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

CF Montanesa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Montanesa UE Tona

The combined recent performance profile favours CF Montanesa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.