PVF-CAND vs Long An

11 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

PVF-CAND

Long An

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.9% DRAW 14.9% AWAY 6.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.5% 1.17 DRAW 14.8% 6.25 AWAY 5.6% 16.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PVF-CAND

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

PVF-CAND Long An

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours PVF-CAND, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PVF-CAND Long An

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Long An has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PVF-CAND Long An

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

PVF-CAND = (0.0%)

Long An ↑ +5.00 (+41.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.