Long An vs Bac Ninh

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Long An

Bac Ninh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 17.5% AWAY 69.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% 8.00 DRAW 17.7% 5.60 AWAY 69.9% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bac Ninh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Long An Bac Ninh

Shots 4.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Bac Ninh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Long An Bac Ninh

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Long An has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Long An Bac Ninh

The combined recent performance profile favours Bac Ninh.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Long An = (0.0%)

Bac Ninh ↑ +0.13 (+10.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.