Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Khanh Hoa

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Khanh Hoa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.98 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 24.0% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Xuan Thien Phu Tho relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.9% win probability, compared with 48.6% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Xuan Thien Phu Tho

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Khanh Hoa

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Xuan Thien Phu Tho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Khanh Hoa

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Khanh Hoa

The combined recent performance profile favours Xuan Thien Phu Tho.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Xuan Thien Phu Tho ↑ +0.23 (+13.1%)

Khanh Hoa ↓ -0.22 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.