Borneo FC vs Dewa United FC

16 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Borneo FC

Dewa United FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 27.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.20 DRAW 27.3% 3.47 AWAY 29.6% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Borneo FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.9% win probability, compared with 43.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Borneo FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Borneo FC Dewa United FC

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Borneo FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Borneo FC Dewa United FC

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Borneo FC Dewa United FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Borneo FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Borneo FC ↑ +0.28 (+14.8%)

Dewa United FC ↓ -0.49 (-13.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.