Persija Jakarta vs Persib Bandung

12 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Persija Jakarta

Persib Bandung

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.26 DRAW 28.9% 3.30 AWAY 29.0% 3.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Persib Bandung relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.6% win probability, compared with 29.0% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Persib Bandung

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Persija Jakarta Persib Bandung

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Persib Bandung, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Persija Jakarta Persib Bandung

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Persija Jakarta Persib Bandung

The combined recent performance profile favours Persib Bandung.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Persija Jakarta ↓ -0.06 (-2.6%)

Persib Bandung ↑ +0.24 (+7.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.