Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoategui FC

07 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Deportivo La Guaira

Academia Anzoategui FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.7% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 9.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.0% 1.43 DRAW 21.3% 4.50 AWAY 11.8% 8.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Deportivo La Guaira clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.7% win probability, compared with 67.0% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo La Guaira has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo La Guaira Academia Anzoategui FC

Shots 16.0 · On target 8.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo La Guaira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo La Guaira Academia Anzoategui FC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Deportivo La Guaira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo La Guaira Academia Anzoategui FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo La Guaira.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +0.03 (+2.1%)

Academia Anzoategui FC ↑ +0.06 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.