Academia Anzoategui FC vs Monagas

03 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Academia Anzoategui FC

Monagas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.46 DRAW 28.5% 3.31 AWAY 33.1% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Monagas relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.6% win probability, compared with 33.1% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Monagas has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Academia Anzoategui FC Monagas

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Monagas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Academia Anzoategui FC Monagas

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Monagas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Academia Anzoategui FC Monagas

The combined recent performance profile favours Monagas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Academia Anzoategui FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Monagas ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.