Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello

16 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Deportivo Tachira

Academia Puerto Cabello

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.15 DRAW 29.1% 3.21 AWAY 27.5% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Academia Puerto Cabello

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Tachira Academia Puerto Cabello

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Academia Puerto Cabello, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Tachira Academia Puerto Cabello

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Tachira Academia Puerto Cabello

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Tachira ↑ +0.06 (+2.9%)

Academia Puerto Cabello ↓ -0.22 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.