Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira

04 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Academia Puerto Cabello

Deportivo La Guaira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 32.7% AWAY 27.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.20 DRAW 31.9% 2.90 AWAY 26.1% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo La Guaira

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Academia Puerto Cabello Deportivo La Guaira

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 9.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo La Guaira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Academia Puerto Cabello Deportivo La Guaira

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Academia Puerto Cabello Deportivo La Guaira

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Academia Puerto Cabello ↓ -0.04 (-1.8%)

Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +0.03 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.