Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Carabobo

03 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Carabobo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.7% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 66.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.8% 7.60 DRAW 23.8% 4.10 AWAY 63.4% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Carabobo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 66.8% win probability, compared with 63.4% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Carabobo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Carabobo

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Carabobo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Carabobo

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Carabobo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Carabobo

The combined recent performance profile favours Carabobo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano ↑ +0.20 (+2.7%)

Carabobo ↑ +0.04 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.