Hai Phong vs Ninh Binh

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Hai Phong

Ninh Binh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.5% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 57.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.9% 4.67 DRAW 22.8% 4.08 AWAY 57.3% 1.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ninh Binh

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hai Phong Ninh Binh

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 10.3

Recent attacking output favours Ninh Binh, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hai Phong Ninh Binh

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Hai Phong has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hai Phong Ninh Binh

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hai Phong ↑ +1.73 (+58.8%)

Ninh Binh ↓ -0.54 (-24.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.