Lam Dong vs Ho Chi Minh City

12 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Lam Dong

Ho Chi Minh City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 1.97 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 27.4% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ho Chi Minh City

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lam Dong Ho Chi Minh City

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Ho Chi Minh City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lam Dong Ho Chi Minh City

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Lam Dong has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lam Dong Ho Chi Minh City

The combined recent performance profile favours Ho Chi Minh City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lam Dong ↑ +0.33 (+20.1%)

Ho Chi Minh City ↓ -1.28 (-27.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.