Quy Nhon United vs Ho Chi Minh City

18 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Quy Nhon United

Ho Chi Minh City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 43.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 3.05 DRAW 27.7% 3.40 AWAY 41.3% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ho Chi Minh City has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Quy Nhon United Ho Chi Minh City

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Quy Nhon United Ho Chi Minh City

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Ho Chi Minh City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Quy Nhon United Ho Chi Minh City

The combined recent performance profile favours Ho Chi Minh City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Quy Nhon United ↑ +0.65 (+26.9%)

Ho Chi Minh City ↓ -0.44 (-16.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.