PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang

19 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

PSM Makassar

Persita Tangerang

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.15 DRAW 28.9% 3.30 AWAY 26.7% 3.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

PSM Makassar Persita Tangerang

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours PSM Makassar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PSM Makassar Persita Tangerang

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PSM Makassar Persita Tangerang

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PSM Makassar ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Persita Tangerang ↑ +0.03 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.