Persebaya Surabaya vs Garudayaksa

19 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Persebaya Surabaya

Garudayaksa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.8% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% 1.48 DRAW 21.9% 4.35 AWAY 13.6% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Persebaya Surabaya

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Persebaya Surabaya Garudayaksa

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Persebaya Surabaya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Persebaya Surabaya Garudayaksa

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Garudayaksa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Persebaya Surabaya Garudayaksa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Persebaya Surabaya ↓ -0.02 (-1.3%)

Garudayaksa ↑ +0.04 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.