Madura United vs PSIM Yogyakarta

18 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Madura United

PSIM Yogyakarta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% 2.03 DRAW 27.2% 3.50 AWAY 26.0% 3.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PSIM Yogyakarta

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours PSIM Yogyakarta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Madura United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Madura United PSIM Yogyakarta

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Madura United ↓ -0.22 (-9.8%)

PSIM Yogyakarta ↑ +0.44 (+13.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.